PROTOTYPE

A Tokenomist design concept exploring equity lockup tracking. It is not an official Tokenomist product. Deal terms are sourced from SEC filings and press reports. Items marked EST are modeled estimates. See sources & disclaimer below.

SpaceXSPCXLockup & Vesting Tracker

SRC: S-1 · S-1/A · REUTERS · FT● LIVE · POST-IPO+ Request More IPO Unlocks

Price

$185.00

IPO Price

$135.00

Mkt Cap (FD)

$1.77T

Exchange

NASDAQ

Ticker

SPCX

Price

IPO Price

$135.00

Mkt Cap (FD)

$1.77T

Exchange

NASDAQ

Ticker

SPCX

Total Shares (FD)

13.11B SPCX

$1.77T · fully diluted, post-IPO

Public Float

555.60M

4.2% of shares outstanding

Locked

12.56B

95.8% of total shares

IPO Raise

$75.01B

all-primary · 555.6M sh · ~4.24% float

Musk Voting Power

82.4%

per S-1 dual-class structure

Unlock Schedule: Public Float

Cumulative tradable shares by holder group · Jun 2026 → Jul 2027

Elon Musk

Institutional & VC

Employees & Alumni

Alphabet

xAI Merger Holders

IPO Public Float

Next Event: Jul 20

Performance trigger

Conditional pull-forward: +10% if price ≥ +30% vs IPO for 5 of 10 sessions pre-Q2. Accelerates later tranches; D180 remainder drops to ~7% of eligible if triggered. Excluded from cumulative totals.

Shares unlocking

704.88M · $95.16B

Supply Pressure Index (Lockup Overhang)

HIGH

Up to 2.40B shares ($323.54B) become eligible within the next 90d, about 4.3x the current float. Staggered by design. Eligible does not mean sold.

Allocations

Holder groups · % of 13.11B total shares. Totals are fully diluted; options may never be exercised.

100%

Total Shares

Holder Group	Allocation	Amount	Unlocked
Elon Musk 366-day personal lockup · 82.4% voting power	42.0%	5.51B $743.40B	0.00%
Institutional & VC EST Fidelity, Founders Fund, Sequoia, a16z, sovereign funds	28.0%	3.67B $494.93B	0.00%
Employees & Alumni EST Options + RSUs, current and former staff · unvested/unissued	13.0%	1.70B $230.10B	0.00%
Alphabet $1B joint investment w/ Fidelity, Jan 2015	7.0%	917.78M $123.90B	0.00%
xAI Merger Holders EST Nvidia, QIA, Tesla (~19M sh) via Feb 2026 merger	5.8%	760.44M $102.66B	0.00%
IPO Public Float 555.6M Class A at $135 · greenshoe +83.3M · 30% earmarked retail	4.2%	555.60M $75.01B	100.00%

Key Unlocks & Cliffs

Staggered lockup per S-1. No single 180-day wall.

Date	Event	Amount	% of Total Shares	Release
12 Jun 2026	IPO (NASDAQ: SPCX)ISSUANCE 555.6M new shares sold at $135/sh · $75.0B all-primary issuance, not a lockup release	555.60M $75.01B	4.2%	8 days ago
20 Jul 2026	Performance triggerCONDITIONAL Conditional pull-forward: +10% if price ≥ +30% vs IPO for 5 of 10 sessions pre-Q2. Accelerates later tranches; D180 remainder drops to ~7% of eligible if triggered. Excluded from cumulative totals.	704.88M $95.16B	5.4%	1 month left
5 Aug 2026	Q2 earnings cliffCLIFF 20% of eligible insider shares	1.41B $190.32B	10.8%	2 months left
21 Aug 2026	Day 70 releaseSTAGGERED +7% time-based	493.42M $66.61B	3.8%	2 months left
10 Sep 2026	Day 90 releaseSTAGGERED +7% time-based	493.42M $66.61B	3.8%	3 months left
25 Sep 2026	Day 105 releaseSTAGGERED +7% time-based	493.42M $66.61B	3.8%	3 months left
10 Oct 2026	Day 120 releaseSTAGGERED +7% time-based	493.42M $66.61B	3.8%	4 months left
25 Oct 2026	Day 135 releaseSTAGGERED +7% time-based	493.42M $66.61B	3.8%	4 months left
4 Nov 2026	Q3 earnings releaseCLIFF +28% of eligible shares	1.97B $266.45B	15.1%	4 months left
9 Dec 2026	Lockup expiry (D180)CLIFF All remaining insider shares free	1.20B $161.77B	9.1%	6 months left
13 Jun 2027	Musk lockup expiryMEGA CLIFF 366-day founder lockup ends. Covers 42% of shares outstanding.	5.51B $743.40B	42.0%	1 year left

Referenced Data

All deal terms and lockup mechanics are drawn from the sources below. Data is current as of June 10, 2026.

Source	Description	Reference
SEC EDGAR	SpaceX S-1 (filed May 20, 2026) and S-1/A (June 3, 2026). Covers offering terms, ownership, and lockup provisions.	sec.gov
CNBC	Fixed $135/share · 555.6M shares · $75B raise · $1.77T valuation · 83.33M-share greenshoe	cnbc.com
Reuters Breakingviews	Staggered release analysis titled “SpaceX lockups turn tsunami into constant pounding” (June 8, 2026).	reuters.com
Darrow Wealth	Employee lockup release dates. Covers the 20% Q2 cliff, 7% × 5 windows, the 28% Q3 release, and the +10% performance trigger.	darrowwealthmanagement.com
Morningstar	How SpaceX's tiered lockup aims to meter insider sales instead of blocking them.	morningstar.com
Fortune	Dual-class structure. Musk holds 42% of equity with supermajority voting control.	fortune.com

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Disclaimer

Prototype. This page is a Tokenomist design concept demonstrating how equity lockup schedules could be tracked in the Tokenomist format. It is not an official Tokenomist product and does not use the Tokenomist data pipeline. Deal terms are drawn from the SEC filings and reports cited above; they have not gone through Tokenomist's internal source-verification process.Independent & unofficial. This tracker is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or produced by SpaceX, the SEC, Nasdaq, or any underwriter.Estimates are flagged. Holder-group splits marked EST are modeled from public reporting. The S-1 individually discloses only Musk (~42%), Alphabet (~7%), and the IPO float. Q2/Q3 earnings-linked release dates are estimates until report dates are announced. The +10% performance release is conditional on price action and may never trigger. Listing dates and terms can change.Not investment advice. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Data is provided "as is" without warranty of accuracy or completeness. Verify against official SEC filings before making any decision, and consult a licensed financial advisor.

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